Dated stock is worth nothing on 2 January. How to size a print run, pick paper people do not complain about, and carry February through July.
Sailo team13 min read
There are 160 unsold 2026 planners in the closet and it's the third of February.
That's the whole risk of this business in one sentence, and it's why planners are unlike almost anything else you can sell. A dated planner has an expiry date printed on the cover. On 2 January it isn't worth the $6.20 a copy you paid to print it. It's worth close to nothing, because the only people who'll take it want it at $8 and you'd be paying to ship a loss. So the job is to print small, sell hard in a ten-week window, and have something to sell in the other forty-two.
Do the print run maths first. Everything else follows from it.
People plan for leftovers as if leftovers were inventory. They aren't. Inventory is something you can sell next season. A 2026 planner in 2027 is paper you're storing.
Run the two scenarios side by side:
| Scenario | Print run | Unit cost | Total print | Sold | Revenue at $32 | Dead stock |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Print big | 500 | $6.20 | $3,100 | 340 | $10,880 | 160 units, $992 spent, $0 back |
| Print to demand | 250 | $7.40 | $1,850 | 250 | $8,000 | 0 |
| Print to demand and reprint | 250 + 150 | $7.40 / $8.10 | $3,065 | 400 | $12,800 | 0 |
Look at rows one and three. Almost the same money spent on printing. Row three sold 60 more copies and ended January with an empty closet.
The reason people choose row one is that the unit price looks better, and the unit price is the wrong number to optimise. The number that matters is dollars of unsold paper, and that number is only ever zero or awful.
Print what you can sell in November alone, then reprint. A reprint costs more per unit and far less than a pallet you eventually pay someone to take away.
The catch is lead time, and it's real. A reprint usually takes two to four weeks depending on your printer and the time of year, and printers are busiest exactly when you need them. Which means the reprint decision gets made in early November on incomplete information, not in December when you're certain. Ask your printer in September what their November turnaround looks like, and put the reprint trigger in your calendar as a date rather than a feeling.
The calendar isn't seasonal. It's a cliff.
| Period | What's happening | What you should be doing |
|---|---|---|
| February to April | Nothing dated sells | Design next year's edition. Sell undated and digital. |
| May to June | Academic-year buyers start looking | Open pre-orders for July-to-June dated stock |
| July to August | Academic year starts, teachers buy | Ship academic editions. Back-to-school stationery. |
| September | Calendar-year pre-orders open | Waiting list converts. This is your launch. |
| October to November | The peak. Most of your year. | Ship fast, watch stock, decide on the reprint |
| December | Gifting, and shipping deadlines | Cut-off dates published early and held |
| 1 to 15 January | The tail. Real, and short. | Full price still works. Don't panic-discount yet. |
| 16 January onward | Over | Markdown ladder begins |
Two structural things fall out of that. First, there are two dated seasons, not one: the academic year running July to June, and the calendar year running January to December. Running both smooths your year considerably, and it means the same layout earns twice with a different date block.
Second, roughly two thirds of your dated revenue lands in about ten weeks. Everything about your operation, your stock levels, your packing capacity, your customer service time, has to be built for those ten weeks and then not used for the rest. Plan the whole year deliberately rather than reacting to it; there's a wider method for that in planning a year of drops.
The only honest way to know how many to print is to make people commit before you print.
Open pre-orders four to six weeks ahead of shipping, at a discount that's real but not desperate. $28 for pre-orders against $32 at launch is enough. Say clearly when it ships, and hold that date, because a missed pre-order date in October poisons the ten weeks that matter.
Then the arithmetic. If pre-orders come in at 180 copies, print somewhere around 300, not 500. The historical relationship between pre-orders and full-season sales is something only you can learn, and you learn it by writing both numbers down for two years running. Until you have that, be conservative. Under-printing costs you sales you can partly recover with a reprint. Over-printing costs you cash you never see again.
Building the list that makes the pre-order work is the part that takes months rather than days, and it's worth starting in the spring. The mechanics of getting people to want something before it exists are in building a waiting list for a drop.
There's a failure mode nobody warns first-time planner makers about, and it has nothing to do with the layout.
Your reviews will be about paper weight and almost nothing else. Nobody writes a review about your layout. Everybody writes one about ghosting.
Ghosting is when ink shows through to the other side of the page. It's a function of paper weight, measured in gsm, and of what the customer writes with. The planner audience contains a serious contingent of people who use gel pens, brush pens and fountain pens, and they will test your paper on day one and post about it.
Rough guide, and get samples from your printer rather than trusting it:
Ask your printer for a dummy on two weights. Write on both with a gel pen, a fineliner and a highlighter, and hold them up to a window. Then choose, and put the number on the product page: "100gsm paper. Tested with gel pens and fineliners. Heavy highlighters may still show through."
That last clause is worth more than a five-star review. It's the sentence that stops the one-star one.
One email on pricing, photographs, delivery and getting paid. No pitch, no filler.
Four common bindings and they behave completely differently:
Wire-o, the twin-loop spiral. Lies completely flat, folds back on itself, and is what most planner buyers expect. It snags in bags and the wire can bend. Middling cost. This is the default for a reason.
Discbound. Pages come out and go back in on plastic or metal discs. Refillable, which means you can sell refills all year, which is a genuinely different business model. Higher unit cost and a more specific audience.
Perfect bound, the glued spine like a paperback. Cheapest, and it does not lie flat, which for a planner is close to disqualifying. Fine for a notebook, wrong for a weekly spread.
Casebound hardcover. Premium feel, premium price, heavy. Shipping goes up and so does your minimum order quantity.
Page count is where the costs compound. A 200-page A5 planner on 100gsm weighs somewhere around 500 to 600 grams before packaging, and that's often enough to move you into a more expensive shipping band. Check the bands before you finalise the page count, because thirty pages of extras you added at the last minute can cost you a dollar on every parcel for a year.
The two things that generate actual returns: pages coming loose, and a date error. Proofread the date grid. Then have someone else proofread the date grid. A wrong day-of-week in March is a full reprint or a full apology, and there's no third option.
A business that only sells dated planners is idle for five months and terrified for two.
Fix that with three things that share the same design work:
An undated edition. Same layout, blank date fields, sells all year at a slightly lower price because it carries less urgency. It also mops up the customer who finds you in April.
A digital version. A PDF planner, hyperlinked, for tablet users. Zero print cost, zero shipping, zero dead stock, and it's the same file your printer already has with a few changes. It sells at a lower price and the margin is close to total. The practical side of selling a PDF, including how to deliver it and what to do about people sharing it, is covered in how to sell PDFs without a website.
Refills and inserts, if your binding allows them. This is the quiet advantage of discbound and ring systems: a customer who bought once buys again in six months without you printing a new cover.
The digital version deserves one warning. It won't replace the physical income and it isn't supposed to. It's the thing that pays for the design work in the dead months, and it's the thing you can sell to someone in another country without touching a courier.
Sticker sheets, washi tape, pen loops, dashboards, bookmarks. Low ticket, high frequency, and they sell every month of the year.
They also fix your average order value. A planner at $32 plus two sticker sheets at $5 each is a $42 order for the same box and the same postage. Bundling them at checkout is worth more than a discount on the planner.
Here's the honest limitation, and it lands squarely on this business. Sailo's free plan caps you at 10 products, and a stationery shop passes twenty on sticker sheets alone before it has listed a single planner. The Pro plan at $19 a month takes you to 250, which is realistic for this kind of catalogue.
The second one matters more in January. Coupon codes are a Business plan feature, at $49 a month, and a planner business runs on a clearance code in the second half of January. If your whole markdown plan depends on a code, that's a cost you need in the budget before December, not a discovery you make on the 16th. You can run the clearance by changing prices instead, which works and is more work.
Decide the discounts before you're emotional about them. Write the ladder in November, put it in your calendar, and execute it without renegotiating with yourself.
Something like:
| Date | Action |
|---|---|
| 1 January | Full price. The new year tail is real. |
| 16 January | 25% off dated stock |
| 1 February | 40% off, and bundle with stickers |
| 15 February | Bundle only. Planner plus stickers at one low price. |
| 1 March | Donate, or give away with any order. Stop storing it. |
The last row is the one people resist and it's the one that matters. A box of dead planners in the closet is a monthly reminder of a bad decision, and getting rid of it in March is worth more to next year's planning than the $200 you might scrape out of it in June. The wider question of clearing stock without teaching your customers to wait for a sale is in end of year stock clearing, and the arithmetic of what a discount actually costs you is in how to run a discount without losing money.
Nia designs and sells a weekly planner, calendar year dated, plus stickers.
Her third year: pre-orders opened 15 September at $28 and closed at 214 copies. She printed 350 at $7.10 landed, so $2,485. She launched 8 October at $34.
By 20 November she'd sold 289 and had 61 left, which triggered her reprint rule. She'd asked her printer in September and knew a 150-copy reprint would take 18 days at $8.40 a copy. She ordered it. It arrived 12 December, and she sold 118 of the 150 by 12 January.
Season total: 407 planners sold at an average realised price of about $31 after the pre-order discount, so roughly $12,600. Print cost $2,485 plus $1,260, so $3,745. Shipping supplies and the postage she didn't fully recover took maybe $1,900 across 380 parcels. Call it $6,900 before her own time, which across September to January was a great deal of her own time.
She ended January with 32 unsold copies, cleared 24 of them at 40% off in early February and gave the last 8 away with sticker orders.
February to July brought in about $3,100, almost entirely stickers and the digital version, on maybe four hours a week.
Two things she changed after year two. She moved from 80gsm to 100gsm paper, which cost her $0.90 a unit and stopped the ghosting complaints that had been most of her one-star reviews. And she stopped printing the "safe" 500, which in year two had left her with 174 dead copies, roughly $1,100 of paper she eventually recycled. The reprint in year three cost her $195 more in unit cost than printing them all at once would have. That's a cheap insurance premium against $1,100.
Get your printer's turnaround for a reprint in your busiest month, in writing, before you place your first order. That one number decides how small you can safely print.
Then order dummies on two paper weights, write on both with a gel pen, and hold them up to the light. Put the gsm number on the product page with an honest sentence about what still shows through.
Then open pre-orders, and print to what people actually committed to. Not to what you hope happens in November.
Written by
Sailo team
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